{"id":6390,"date":"2024-10-17T09:00:36","date_gmt":"2024-10-17T07:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/?p=6390"},"modified":"2024-10-31T12:13:37","modified_gmt":"2024-10-31T11:13:37","slug":"step-by-step-guide-to-the-key-detection-rules","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/step-by-step-guide-to-the-key-detection-rules\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Identify Process Issues: A Step-by-Step Guide to the Key Detection Rules"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"cf-14869-area-150045\"><\/div>\n<p>Hey there!<\/p>\n<p>Last week, we talked about <a href=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/when-to-update-your-process-limits\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">when to update your process limits<\/a>, and today we\u2019re going to keep moving forward and dive into how to detect signals that indicate changes in your process.<\/p>\n<p>At the beginning of our journey, we started with <a href=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/thresholds-that-drive-continuous-improvement\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Detection Rule #1, which tells us that a single point outside of the calculated natural process limits<\/a> (also known as three sigma limits) is a strong signal that something unusual has occurred.<\/p>\n<p>This is the clearest sign of a signal because of its strength. When you detect this, it\u2019s time to take action right away and identify what\u2019s causing the deviation in your process.<\/p>\n<h2>How to Identify Process Issues Using the 4 Detection Rule<\/h2>\n<p>Now, let\u2019s talk a bit more about those limits and go through each of them in detail.<\/p>\n<h3>Detection Rule #1: Clear Signals<\/h3>\n<p>If a data point falls outside of the three-sigma limits range, it signals that something outside the norm has occurred. This is what Detection Rule #1 is all about\u2014a single point outside these limits signals that immediate action is required.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s not the only way to detect signals. There are also moderate signals that suggest a process shift without as clear a deviation as Rule #1.<\/p>\n<p>This leads us to Detection Rule #2.<\/p>\n<h3>Detection Rule #2: Moderate Changes<\/h3>\n<p>Detection Rule #2 states that if you observe two out of three successive values beyond one of the two sigma limits on the same side of the average, it\u2019s likely signaling a moderate process change.<\/p>\n<p>This is important because even if no point has gone beyond the three sigma limit, this pattern suggests something is starting to shift in your process. Investigating at this stage helps you catch issues before they become bigger problems.<\/p>\n<h3>Detection Rule #3: Sustained Process Shifts<\/h3>\n<p>Now, let\u2019s move to Detection Rule #3. This rule indicates a more sustained change in your process. If you find that four out of five successive values fall beyond one of the one sigma lines (on the same side of the average), it\u2019s likely signaling a moderate, sustained process shift.<\/p>\n<p>Rule #3 increases the sensitivity of your signal detection and helps you spot sustained changes that may not be as obvious at first.<\/p>\n<p>In this case:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Four out of five successive data points beyond the one sigma limits (on the same side) is a moderate but sustained signal.<\/li>\n<li>This tells you that a gradual shift may have occurred in your process, requiring closer examination.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Detection Rule #4: Subtle but Important Shifts<\/h3>\n<p>Finally, Detection Rule #4 highlights even smaller changes. If you notice eight successive values on the same side of the average, this points to a small but sustained shift in your process.<\/p>\n<p>While this may not seem as significant as a single point outside the three sigma limits, it\u2019s crucial for maintaining a stable process over time.<\/p>\n<p>Rule #4 helps you separate subtle signals from normal process noise and avoid missing important trends.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cf-14869-area-150047\"><\/div>\n<p>Why do these rules matter?<\/p>\n<p>The key to successfully using these rules is understanding that the purpose of collecting data is to take action.<\/p>\n<p>We use these rules to minimize the chances of making two common mistakes:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Missing a signal<\/strong> and failing to address a real process issue.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Treating normal variation as a signal<\/strong> and making unnecessary adjustments.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>With the combination of these detection rules, we can eliminate approximately 99% of process noise and confidently identify when action is required.<\/p>\n<h2>Take It Further with the Process Improvement Dashboard<\/h2>\n<p>Now that we\u2019ve covered the essential detection rules, it\u2019s time to apply them to your own data.<\/p>\n<p>Our Process Improvement Dashboard uses these same principles to help you detect both strong and moderate signals in your flow metrics. It flags process shifts in real time, highlights when it\u2019s time to take action, and provides insights on what steps to take to get back on track.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-scaled.webp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6556\" src=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-scaled.webp\" alt=\"Process Improvement Dashboard by Nave\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1882\" srcset=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-scaled.webp 2560w, https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-768x565.webp 768w, https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-1536x1129.webp 1536w, https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-2048x1505.webp 2048w, https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/process-improvement-dashboard-by-nave-700x515.webp 700w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Agile teams across the globe use the Nave Analytics suite to identify opportunities for improvement and deliver better products faster! <a href=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/kanban-dashboards\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Try it free for 14 days and see how it helps you take control of your process<\/a> \u2192<\/p>\n<p>Next week, we\u2019ll dive even deeper into <a href=\"https:\/\/getnave.com\/blog\/how-to-treat-signals-in-cycle-time\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">how to make the most of your flow metrics using your natural process limits<\/a>. I\u2019ll show you how to apply these principles to your cycle time and what actions you can take to improve your process. Stay tuned for more insights!<\/p>\n<p>Thanks for reading, and see you next Thursday, same time and place for more managerial insights!<\/p>\n<p>Bye for now!<\/p>\n<div class=\"cf-14869-area-125960\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"cf-14869-area-150046\"><\/div>\n<p><em><strong>Source:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/leanpub.com\/actionableagilemetricsii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vacanti, D. \u201cActionable Agile Metrics for Predictability Volume II\u201d<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<div style='text-align:left' class='yasr-auto-insert-visitor'><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hey there! Last week, we talked about when to update your process limits, and today we\u2019re going to keep moving forward and dive into how to detect signals that indicate changes in your process. At the beginning of our journey, we started with Detection Rule #1, which tells us that a single point outside of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-process-improvement"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How to Identify Process Issues: A Step-by-Step Guide | Nave<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How do you spot a process shift before it causes real problems? 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